Mortgage bond prices opened higher Monday morning adding to the gains
seen Friday afternoon. Bonds are finding support from weak economic
news released at the open.
In news released at the open, retail
sales fell 0.5% in June. Excluding car purchases, retail sales fell
0.4%. That data was sharply weaker than expected. Analysts had
estimated sales would rise 0.2% and ex-auto sales would be unchanged.
Traders are waiting for stocks to begin trade at 9:30 am ET.
This
week is packed with important events and data, which will cause prices
to swing. Tomorrow brings consumer price index (CPI), production and
utilization data. Wednesday brings housing starts and the Fed Beige
Book and Thursday we will see jobless claims, LEI and the Philly Fed
survey. In addition 1/3 of the stocks in the Dow will release earnings
reports.
The main event of the week is expected to be Federal
Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke's congressional testimony on the economic
outlook on Tuesday and Wednesday. Investors will scour his remarks for
any hints the Fed is leaning toward providing additional monetary
stimulus.
The Euro Zone continues to struggle. In a
turnaround from previous policy, the European Central Bank (ECB)
advocated imposing losses on senior bondholders of debt issued by
Spanish banks. This marks a contrast to the position the bank took when
bailing out Irish banks in 2010 and is furthers evidence the situation
in Europe is fluid.
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