Wednesday, August 15, 2012

look to open negative adding to recent negative trend

Mortgage bond prices remained weaker throughout the day adding to the losses from yesterday afternoon.

The U.S. bond market was generally weaker heading into the data as news out of the euro zone was not U.S. rate friendly. France and Germany both saw higher than expected GDP figures. While the rest of the euro zone showed decreases, those decreases were expected.

The news this morning added fuel to the already negative fire. Retail sales rose 0.8%, considerably higher than the expected 0.3% increase. The producer price index was higher than expected. PPI rose 0.3%, expected up 0.2%. The core, which excludes volatile food and energy rose 0.4%, expected up 0.2%... not rate friendly! The last thing we need is to see inflation fears ignited. Inflation, real or perceived is the enemy of fixed income securities and causes prices to fall and rates to rise.

Tomorrow we have consumer price index, industrial production, and capacity use data.

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